|Written by Brock Lanning|
|Friday, 13 January 2012 13:11|
As ESPN analyst Skip Bayless would say about Tim Tebow "this kid is a gamer -- he's a baller, he's a play maker, a shot caller and all he does is win" but will any of that matter as the Denver Broncos travel to take on Tom Brady and the three time Super Bowl champion New England Patriots on Saturday evening from Gillette Stadium? Gamblers are excited about the Saints vs 49ers and Giants vs Packers games this weekend but the Tebow vs Brady match-up in the AFC divisional playoffs has been one of the most anticipated and wagered games of the week. Bookmakers aren't feeling the Tebow magic however as Broncos vs Patriots odds at Vegas sportsbooks have Brady and New England listed as heavy 13.5-point home favorites in NFL picks against Denver while the over/under total has been set at 50. Vegas also favor the Patriots a hefty -800 on the moneyline while the Broncos would return a pay-out of +600 (6/1) on a $100 wager.
The Broncos vs Patriots game is scheduled to start at 8:00pm EST on Saturday from Foxboro, Massachusetts and can be seen live on CBS. The Denver Broncos only finished the year with an 8-8 overall record but since their overtime win against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC wild card round, many gamblers are taking a second look at a team that lost their last three games of the season. Surrounded by criticism, Tebow took legendary quarterback and Bronco's executive vice president of football operations John Elway's advice when he "pulled the trigger" for an 80-yard touchdown pass in overtime to send the Steelers packing last Sunday. Denver pulled off a 29-23 upset as 7.5-point underdogs in NFL picks but still went a mediocre 7-8-1 ATS on the season and are almost two touchdown underdogs to have a repeat performance this weekend. That being said, handicapping trends for Broncos vs Patriots odds have Denver recently going 5-1 on the road, 17-5 when playing New England and 5-2 when playing at Gillette Stadium.
The New England Patriots finished the 2011-12 season with an impressive 13-3 overall record winning their last eight games and ranked second in the league for passing yards averaging 317.8-per game. Brady finished the season throwing 5,235-yards with 39-touchdowns while Wes Welker had another outstanding season hauling in 122-receptions for 1,569-yards and 9-touchdowns. That being said, New England has been shaky on defense ranked 31st in allowing opponents nearly 300-passing yards per game and 17th in rushing yards at 117.1. The Patriots last played on New Year's Day in a 49-21 beating of the Buffalo Bills as 10-point favorites in NFL picks but many handicappers are wondering if the lay-off will once again effect New England since being the AFC's #1 seed last year and falling short in a 21-28 loss to the New York Jets. Betting trends for Broncos vs Patriots odds have New England recently going 5-0 in their last five games and 15-2 overall when playing at home but will need to overcome going 2-5 when playing Denver in Foxboro.
NFL Picks: OVER 50
Denver Broncos (8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) vs New England Patriots (13-3 SU, 9-6-1 ATS)
|Last Updated on Friday, 13 January 2012 13:51|