|Written by John Bower|
|Wednesday, 16 December 2009 12:07|
Fresno State is heavily favored in 2009 New Mexico Bowl odds for Saturday's game at 4:30pm EST against a Wyoming team that finished the season at 6-6. Fresno was 8-4 overall this season in college football odds and features a powerful offense led by running back Ryan Mathews who led the nation in rushing at 151.3 yards per game. That does not bode well for Wyoming since they allowed more than 170 yards per game on the ground this season. Fresno State is an 11-point favorite in 2009 New Mexico Bowl odds at online sportsbooks with a betting total of 55.
The 2009 New Mexico Bowl on ESPN could turn into a blowout if Wyoming is not able to slow down Fresno’s rushing attack. What also is a concern for Wyoming in college football odds is their ability to move the ball. Their offense simply isn’t very good and the Cowboys are only in a bowl game because they played a weak schedule. The one thing that helps Wyoming is that they are happy to be in a bowl game since they have missed out the last four seasons. Wyoming has not beaten a team with a winning record all season so they have a tough task in the 2009 New Mexico Bowl. In fact, they only scored one touchdown all season against a team that had a winning record.
What does help the Cowboys is that they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the WAC and they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Cowboys are 14-6 ATS as a favorite in college football odds for their last 20 non-conference games. The concern though, as previously mentioned is that they don’t beat winning teams. The Cowboys are 3-13-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Taking Fresno as a favorite in 2009 New Mexico Bowl odds is no bargain though. The Bulldogs are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite. They are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games on grass and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Mountain West Conference. Looking at the total we see that the Under is 13-6 in the Cowboys last 19 non-conference games but the Over is 5-1 in college football odds for the Bulldogs last 6 non-conference games. The Over is 6-2 in the Bulldogs last 8 bowl games.
Bower's College Football Picks: Although the betting trends don't favor the Bulldogs in this match-up, there is no way in hell I would put any money on the Cowboys. This will have to be one of those bowl games where you throw out the stats and just play with your gut. My college football pick in 2009 New Mexico Bowl odds will be to take Fresno State laying the points to the OVER in a close call parlay. Vegas odds at the MGM Mirage sportsbook have the Fresno State Bulldogs -11.5 favorites against the Wyoming Cowboys with a total of 54.5.
|Last Updated on Sunday, 27 November 2011 22:48|